Direct Digital Valuation

DRCT Stock  USD 1.42  0.11  7.19%   
Based on Macroaxis valuation methodology, the firm appears to be undervalued. Direct Digital Holdings shows a prevailing Real Value of $28.55 per share. The current price of the firm is $1.42. Our model computes the value of Direct Digital Holdings from reviewing the firm fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 2.43 M, current valuation of 19.74 M, and Profit Margin of (0.27) % as well as analyzing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Direct Digital's valuation include:
Price Book
13.8661
Enterprise Value
19.7 M
Enterprise Value Ebitda
6.2474
Price Sales
0.1125
Forward PE
5.1125
Undervalued
Today
1.42
Please note that Direct Digital's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of Direct Digital Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Direct Digital's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Direct Digital's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price of 1.42, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  1.42 Real  28.55 Target  110.0 Hype  1.51
The intrinsic value of Direct Digital's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Direct Digital's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
28.55
Real Value
42.08
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Direct Digital Holdings helps investors to forecast how Direct stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Direct Digital more accurately as focusing exclusively on Direct Digital's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
-0.14-0.14-0.14
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.5115.04
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
100.10110.00122.10
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Direct Digital's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Direct Digital's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Direct Digital's closest peers.

Direct Digital Cash

3.26 Million

Direct Digital Total Value Analysis

Direct Digital Holdings is currently forecasted to have valuation of 19.74 M with market capitalization of 3.98 M, debt of 36.27 M, and cash on hands of 4.92 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Direct Digital fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
19.74 M
3.98 M
36.27 M
4.92 M

Direct Digital Investor Information

The company recorded a loss per share of 73.15. Direct Digital Holdings had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:55 split on the 12th of January 2026. Direct Digital Holdings may be sliding down financialy. It has an above-average probability of going through some form of financial hardship next quarter.

Direct Digital Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Direct Digital has an asset utilization ratio of 239.51 percent. This implies that the Company is making $2.4 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Direct Digital Holdings is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Direct Digital Profitability Analysis

Taking into consideration Direct Digital's profitability measurements, Direct Digital's profitability may be sliding down. It has an above-average probability of reporting lower numbers next quarter. Profitability indicators assess Direct Digital's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Loss  
First Reported
2020-12-31
Previous Quarter
-2.2 M
Current Value
-2.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
1.5 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, Direct Digital's Gross Profit is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Gross Profit Margin is likely to gain to 0.37 in 2026, despite the fact that Pretax Profit Margin is likely to grow to (0.24).
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.370.32
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
For Direct Digital profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of Direct Digital Holdings to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well Direct Digital utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between Direct Digital's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of Direct Digital over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

Direct Digital Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

By analyzing Direct Digital's earnings estimates, investors can diagnose different trends across Direct Digital's analyst sentiment over time as well as compare current EPS estimates against different timeframes. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for Direct Digital Holdings is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
Direct Digital is projected to generate -0.1375 in earnings per share on the 31st of December 2026. Direct Digital earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected Direct Digital EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on Direct Digital's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as Direct Digital, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

Direct Digital Ownership Allocation

Roughly 98.11 percent of Direct Digital outstanding shares are held by general public with 1.46 (percent) owned by insiders and only 0.43 % by other corporate entities.

Direct Digital Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 62.29 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 11.12 M.

About Direct Digital Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines Direct Digital's current worth on a daily basis. In general, an absolute valuation approach attempts to find the value of Direct Digital Holdings based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Direct Digital. We calculate exposure to Direct Digital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Direct Digital's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit20 M20.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin(0.25)(0.24)
Operating Profit Margin(0.24)(0.23)
Net Loss(0.09)(0.09)
Gross Profit Margin 0.32  0.37 

Direct Digital Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Direct Digital does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.022
Forward Price Earnings5.1125

Direct Digital Current Valuation Indicators

Direct Digital's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Direct Digital's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Direct Digital, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Direct Digital's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Direct Digital's worth.

Additional Tools for Direct Stock Analysis

When running Direct Digital's price analysis, check to measure Direct Digital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Direct Digital is operating at the current time. Most of Direct Digital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Direct Digital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Direct Digital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Direct Digital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.